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书名:统计学——在经济管理中的应用
定价:45.0
ISBN:9787121358395
作者:姚寿福
版次:第1版
出版时间:2020-03
内容提要:
本书根据经济管理类专业的特点,贯彻“学以致用”的原则,侧重于统计思维的培养和社会经济问题中统计方法的应用,培养学生运用基本统计方法解决实际经济管理问题的能力,不涉及较深的数学知识。为帮助学生更好地理解各章的理论知识,本书还编写了很多真实案例加以说明。本书内容包括绪论、统计数据的搜集和整理、总量指标与相对指标、平均指标与变异指标、抽样估计与假设检验、相关分析与回归分析、时间序列分析、统计指数。每章后附有二维码,扫描可阅读趣味小资料。本书的附录中还给出了常用统计表。为方便教学,本书免费提供电子课件、习题参考答案,读者可登录华信教育资源网www.hxedu.com.cn下载使用。本书可作为高等院校经济学类、工商管理类专业,以及职业技术学院财经类专业的教学用书,也可作为人文、社会科学等专业学生的教材或参考书,还可作为从事经济管理、企业管理工作以及科研工作的有关人员的参考书。
作者简介:
姚寿福(男,1965—),经济学博士,西华大学经济学院教授。主要从事区域经济、农村经济、产业经济等领域的研究和《统计学》、《计量经济学》等课程的教学。发表学术论文40多篇,出版教材1部,出版专著4部。主持国家社科基金项目等2项,多项成果在四川省、成都市社会科学优秀成果评奖中获奖。
目录:
目 录
**章 绪论 ································································································.1
**节 统计学的概念 ··············································································.1
第二节 统计学的研究对象、理论基础和方法 ················································.2
一、统计学的研究对象 ························································································.2
二、统计学的理论基础 ························································································.2
三、统计学的研究方法 ························································································.3
第三节 统计学的几个基本概念 ··································································.4
一、总体、总体单位与样本 ··················································································.4
二、统计标志和标志表现 ·····················································································.5
三、变异和变量 ·································································································.5
四、统计指标和指标体系 ·····················································································.6
思考与练习 ·····························································································.8
第二章 统计数据的搜集和整理 ········································································.9
**节 统计数据的搜集 ··········································································.10
一、统计调查的概念和类型 ·················································································.10
二、统计调查方案 ·····························································································.11
三、统计调查方法 ·····························································································.14
四、统计资料的间接来源 ····················································································.19
第二节 统计整理 ···················································································.19
一、统计整理的意义和内容 ·················································································.19
二、统计分组法 ································································································.20
三、分配数列 ···································································································.23
四、统计表 ······································································································.28
思考与练习 ····························································································.31
第三章 总量指标与相对指标 ··········································································.33
**节 总量指标 ···················································································.33
一、总量指标的概念与意义 ·················································································.33
二、总量指标的种类 ··························································································.34
三、计算总量指标应注意的问题 ···········································································.35
第二节 相对指标 ···················································································.35
一、相对指标的概念和意义 ·················································································.35
二、计划完成程度相对指标 ·················································································.36
三、结构相对指标 ·····························································································.38
四、比较相对指标 ·····························································································.39
五、比例相对指标 ·····························································································.40
六、强度相对指标 ·····························································································.40
七、动态相对指标 ·····························································································.41
八、计算和应用相对指标应注意的问题 ··································································.41
思考与练习 ····························································································.42
第四章 平均指标与变异指标 ··········································································.44
**节 集中趋势指标—平均指标 ···························································.44
一、平均指标的基本概念与特点 ···········································································.44
二、平均指标的作用 ··························································································.45
三、平均指标的度量 ··························································································.46
第二节 集中趋势指标—位置平均数 ························································.54
一、众数 ·········································································································.54
二、中位数 ······································································································.56
三、众数、中位数和算术平均数的比较 ··································································.59
第三节 离中趋势指标—变异指标 ···························································.60
一、变异指标的概念与作用 ·················································································.60
二、全距 ·········································································································.60
三、平均差 ······································································································.61
四、异众比率 ···································································································.62
五、四分位数差 ································································································.62
六、方差与标准差 ·····························································································.63
七、变异系数 ···································································································.65
八、数据的标准化处理 ·······················································································.66
第四节 数据分布的偏态与峰度 ·································································.67
一、矩的概念 ···································································································.67
二、偏态 ·········································································································.67
三、峰度 ·········································································································.68
思考与练习 ····························································································.69
第五章 抽样估计与假设检验 ··········································································.73
**节 抽样调查与抽样估计 ····································································.73
一、概率抽样与非概率抽样 ·················································································.73
二、抽样误差及其测度 ·······················································································.76
三、样本统计量 ································································································.79
四、抽样分布 ···································································································.80
五、参数估计的一般问题 ····················································································.84
六、一个总体参数的区间估计 ··············································································.86
七、样本量的确定 ·····························································································.91
第二节 假设检验 ···················································································.93
一、假设检验的基本思想 ····················································································.94
二、假设检验的步骤 ··························································································.94
三、假设检验中的两类错误 ·················································································.96
四、一个总体参数的假设检验 ··············································································.97
第三节 方差分析 ·················································································.101
一、方差分析的基本问题 ··················································································.102
二、单因素方差分析 ························································································.104
三、方差分析中的多重比较 ···············································································.108
思考与练习 ··························································································.109
第六章 相关分析与回归分析 ··········································································114
**节 相关分析与回归分析的概念 ···························································114
一、相关分析的概念与类型 ···············································································.114
二、回归分析的概念与类型 ···············································································.116
三、相关分析与回归分析的关系 ·········································································.117
第二节 相关表、相关图与相关系数 ···························································118
一、相关表 ····································································································.118
二、相关图 ····································································································.119
三、相关系数 ·································································································.119
第三节 一元线性回归模型 ·····································································.122
一、一元线性回归模型 ·····················································································.122
二、一元线性回归模型参数的估计 ······································································.124
三、一元线性回归模型的统计检验 ······································································.131
四、一元线性回归模型的应用 ············································································.137
第四节 可线性化的曲线回归 ··································································.141
一、非线性相关与回归的含义 ············································································.141
二、非线性回归模型的估计 ···············································································.141
思考与练习 ··························································································.145
第七章 时间序列分析 ·················································································.150
**节 时间序列及分析方法概述 ····························································.150
一、时间序列的概念及分类 ···············································································.150
二、时间序列分析方法 ·····················································································.153
第二节 时间序列的水平指标分析 ····························································.154
一、发展水平 ·································································································.154
二、平均发展水平 ···························································································.154
三、增减量 ····································································································.159
四、平均增减量 ······························································································.160
第三节 时间序列的速度指标分析 ····························································.160
一、发展速度 ·································································································.160
二、增减速度 ·································································································.161
三、平均发展速度 ···························································································.162
四、平均增减速度 ···························································································.163
五、速度指标的分析与应用 ···············································································.163
第四节 时间序列的成分分析 ··································································.164
一、时间序列的构成成分和分析模型 ···································································.164
二、长期趋势的测定 ························································································.165
三、季节变动分析 ···························································································.180
四、循环变动的测定 ························································································.187
思考与练习 ··························································································.188
第八章 统计指数 ·······················································································.194
**节 统计指数的概念和分类 ·······························································.194
一、指数的概念和性质 ·····················································································.194
二、统计指数作用 ···························································································.195
三、统计指数的分类 ························································································.196
第二节 总指数的编制方法 ·····································································.198
一、简单指数 ·································································································.198
二、加权指数 ·································································································.200
第三节 指数体系和因素分析 ··································································.207
一、指数体系及其作用 ·····················································································.207
二、复杂总体总量变动的因素分析 ······································································.208
三、平均指标指数的因素分析 ············································································.213
第四节 几种常用的经济指数 ··································································.216
一、消费者价格指数和零售物价指数 ···································································.216
二、工业生产指数 ···························································································.218
三、股票价格指数 ···························································································.219
四、产品成本指数 ···························································································.222
五、空间价格指数 ···························································································.223
思考与练习 ··························································································.224
附录A 常用统计表 ·······················································································.228
参考文献 ···································································································.242
定价:45.0
ISBN:9787121358395
作者:姚寿福
版次:第1版
出版时间:2020-03
内容提要:
本书根据经济管理类专业的特点,贯彻“学以致用”的原则,侧重于统计思维的培养和社会经济问题中统计方法的应用,培养学生运用基本统计方法解决实际经济管理问题的能力,不涉及较深的数学知识。为帮助学生更好地理解各章的理论知识,本书还编写了很多真实案例加以说明。本书内容包括绪论、统计数据的搜集和整理、总量指标与相对指标、平均指标与变异指标、抽样估计与假设检验、相关分析与回归分析、时间序列分析、统计指数。每章后附有二维码,扫描可阅读趣味小资料。本书的附录中还给出了常用统计表。为方便教学,本书免费提供电子课件、习题参考答案,读者可登录华信教育资源网www.hxedu.com.cn下载使用。本书可作为高等院校经济学类、工商管理类专业,以及职业技术学院财经类专业的教学用书,也可作为人文、社会科学等专业学生的教材或参考书,还可作为从事经济管理、企业管理工作以及科研工作的有关人员的参考书。
作者简介:
姚寿福(男,1965—),经济学博士,西华大学经济学院教授。主要从事区域经济、农村经济、产业经济等领域的研究和《统计学》、《计量经济学》等课程的教学。发表学术论文40多篇,出版教材1部,出版专著4部。主持国家社科基金项目等2项,多项成果在四川省、成都市社会科学优秀成果评奖中获奖。
目录:
目 录
**章 绪论 ································································································.1
**节 统计学的概念 ··············································································.1
第二节 统计学的研究对象、理论基础和方法 ················································.2
一、统计学的研究对象 ························································································.2
二、统计学的理论基础 ························································································.2
三、统计学的研究方法 ························································································.3
第三节 统计学的几个基本概念 ··································································.4
一、总体、总体单位与样本 ··················································································.4
二、统计标志和标志表现 ·····················································································.5
三、变异和变量 ·································································································.5
四、统计指标和指标体系 ·····················································································.6
思考与练习 ·····························································································.8
第二章 统计数据的搜集和整理 ········································································.9
**节 统计数据的搜集 ··········································································.10
一、统计调查的概念和类型 ·················································································.10
二、统计调查方案 ·····························································································.11
三、统计调查方法 ·····························································································.14
四、统计资料的间接来源 ····················································································.19
第二节 统计整理 ···················································································.19
一、统计整理的意义和内容 ·················································································.19
二、统计分组法 ································································································.20
三、分配数列 ···································································································.23
四、统计表 ······································································································.28
思考与练习 ····························································································.31
第三章 总量指标与相对指标 ··········································································.33
**节 总量指标 ···················································································.33
一、总量指标的概念与意义 ·················································································.33
二、总量指标的种类 ··························································································.34
三、计算总量指标应注意的问题 ···········································································.35
第二节 相对指标 ···················································································.35
一、相对指标的概念和意义 ·················································································.35
二、计划完成程度相对指标 ·················································································.36
三、结构相对指标 ·····························································································.38
四、比较相对指标 ·····························································································.39
五、比例相对指标 ·····························································································.40
六、强度相对指标 ·····························································································.40
七、动态相对指标 ·····························································································.41
八、计算和应用相对指标应注意的问题 ··································································.41
思考与练习 ····························································································.42
第四章 平均指标与变异指标 ··········································································.44
**节 集中趋势指标—平均指标 ···························································.44
一、平均指标的基本概念与特点 ···········································································.44
二、平均指标的作用 ··························································································.45
三、平均指标的度量 ··························································································.46
第二节 集中趋势指标—位置平均数 ························································.54
一、众数 ·········································································································.54
二、中位数 ······································································································.56
三、众数、中位数和算术平均数的比较 ··································································.59
第三节 离中趋势指标—变异指标 ···························································.60
一、变异指标的概念与作用 ·················································································.60
二、全距 ·········································································································.60
三、平均差 ······································································································.61
四、异众比率 ···································································································.62
五、四分位数差 ································································································.62
六、方差与标准差 ·····························································································.63
七、变异系数 ···································································································.65
八、数据的标准化处理 ·······················································································.66
第四节 数据分布的偏态与峰度 ·································································.67
一、矩的概念 ···································································································.67
二、偏态 ·········································································································.67
三、峰度 ·········································································································.68
思考与练习 ····························································································.69
第五章 抽样估计与假设检验 ··········································································.73
**节 抽样调查与抽样估计 ····································································.73
一、概率抽样与非概率抽样 ·················································································.73
二、抽样误差及其测度 ·······················································································.76
三、样本统计量 ································································································.79
四、抽样分布 ···································································································.80
五、参数估计的一般问题 ····················································································.84
六、一个总体参数的区间估计 ··············································································.86
七、样本量的确定 ·····························································································.91
第二节 假设检验 ···················································································.93
一、假设检验的基本思想 ····················································································.94
二、假设检验的步骤 ··························································································.94
三、假设检验中的两类错误 ·················································································.96
四、一个总体参数的假设检验 ··············································································.97
第三节 方差分析 ·················································································.101
一、方差分析的基本问题 ··················································································.102
二、单因素方差分析 ························································································.104
三、方差分析中的多重比较 ···············································································.108
思考与练习 ··························································································.109
第六章 相关分析与回归分析 ··········································································114
**节 相关分析与回归分析的概念 ···························································114
一、相关分析的概念与类型 ···············································································.114
二、回归分析的概念与类型 ···············································································.116
三、相关分析与回归分析的关系 ·········································································.117
第二节 相关表、相关图与相关系数 ···························································118
一、相关表 ····································································································.118
二、相关图 ····································································································.119
三、相关系数 ·································································································.119
第三节 一元线性回归模型 ·····································································.122
一、一元线性回归模型 ·····················································································.122
二、一元线性回归模型参数的估计 ······································································.124
三、一元线性回归模型的统计检验 ······································································.131
四、一元线性回归模型的应用 ············································································.137
第四节 可线性化的曲线回归 ··································································.141
一、非线性相关与回归的含义 ············································································.141
二、非线性回归模型的估计 ···············································································.141
思考与练习 ··························································································.145
第七章 时间序列分析 ·················································································.150
**节 时间序列及分析方法概述 ····························································.150
一、时间序列的概念及分类 ···············································································.150
二、时间序列分析方法 ·····················································································.153
第二节 时间序列的水平指标分析 ····························································.154
一、发展水平 ·································································································.154
二、平均发展水平 ···························································································.154
三、增减量 ····································································································.159
四、平均增减量 ······························································································.160
第三节 时间序列的速度指标分析 ····························································.160
一、发展速度 ·································································································.160
二、增减速度 ·································································································.161
三、平均发展速度 ···························································································.162
四、平均增减速度 ···························································································.163
五、速度指标的分析与应用 ···············································································.163
第四节 时间序列的成分分析 ··································································.164
一、时间序列的构成成分和分析模型 ···································································.164
二、长期趋势的测定 ························································································.165
三、季节变动分析 ···························································································.180
四、循环变动的测定 ························································································.187
思考与练习 ··························································································.188
第八章 统计指数 ·······················································································.194
**节 统计指数的概念和分类 ·······························································.194
一、指数的概念和性质 ·····················································································.194
二、统计指数作用 ···························································································.195
三、统计指数的分类 ························································································.196
第二节 总指数的编制方法 ·····································································.198
一、简单指数 ·································································································.198
二、加权指数 ·································································································.200
第三节 指数体系和因素分析 ··································································.207
一、指数体系及其作用 ·····················································································.207
二、复杂总体总量变动的因素分析 ······································································.208
三、平均指标指数的因素分析 ············································································.213
第四节 几种常用的经济指数 ··································································.216
一、消费者价格指数和零售物价指数 ···································································.216
二、工业生产指数 ···························································································.218
三、股票价格指数 ···························································································.219
四、产品成本指数 ···························································································.222
五、空间价格指数 ···························································································.223
思考与练习 ··························································································.224
附录A 常用统计表 ·······················································································.228
参考文献 ···································································································.242
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