数据侦探:了解统计数据的十个简单规则 The Data Detective:Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics

基本信息

Publisher ‏ : ‎ Riverhead Books (February 1, 2022)

Language ‏ : ‎ English

Paperback ‏ : ‎ 336 pages

ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 0593084667

ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0593084663

Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 9.6 ounces

Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 5.5 x 0.9 x 8.2 inches

页面参数仅供参考，具体以实物为准

书籍简介

如今，我们认为统计数据是敌人，是用来误导和迷惑我们的数字。蒂姆-哈福德在《数据侦探》一书中说，这是一个错误。我们不应该怀疑统计数据--我们需要了解它们的含义，以及它们如何改善我们的生活：从本质上讲，它们是通过数字棱镜观察人类行为，而且往往是 "把握我们周围发生的许多事情的方法"。如果我们能抛开恐惧，学会清晰地对待它们--了解我们自己的先入之见是如何将我们引入歧途的，那么统计学就能为我们指出更好地生活和更聪明地工作的方法。

作为 "也许是好的通俗经济学作家"（《新政治家》），蒂姆-哈福德是一位专家，他善于为数百万读者解读复杂的观点。在《数据侦探》一书中，他利用科学和心理学的新研究成果，提出了利用统计数据消除我们的偏见的十项策略，并代之以利用耐心、好奇心和理智等美德来更好地了解我们自己和这个世界的新理念。因此，《数据侦探》是一本关于统计和人类行为的大思想书，它新鲜、出人意料、富有洞察力。

Today we think statistics are the enemy, numbers used to mislead and confuse us. That’s a mistake, Tim Harford says in The Data Detective. We shouldn’t be suspicious of statistics—we need to understand what they mean and how they can improve our lives: they are, at heart, human behavior seen through the prism of numbers and are often “the way of grasping much of what is going on around us.” If we can toss aside our fears and learn to approach them clearly—understanding how our own preconceptions lead us astray—statistics can point to ways we can live better and work smarter.

As “perhaps the popular economics writer in the world” (New Statesman), Tim Harford is an expert at taking complicated views and untangling them for millions of readers. In The Data Detective, he uses new research in science and psychology to set out ten strategies for using statistics to erase our biases and replace them with new views that use virtues like patience, curiosity, and good sense to better understand ourselves and the world. As a result, The Data Detective is a big-view book about statistics and human behavior that is fresh, unexpected, and insightful.

作者简介

蒂姆是一名记者和广播员。

他著有九本书，包括《How To Make The World Add Up》、《Messy》和畅销百万的《卧底经济学家》。蒂姆是《金融时报》的经验丰富专栏作家，也是英国第四电台 "More or Less"和新播客 "Cautionary Tales "的主持人。

蒂姆曾在 TED、PopTech 和悉尼歌剧院发表演讲。他是牛津大学纳菲尔德学院（Nuffield College）的准会员和皇家统计学会（Royal Statistical Society）的荣誉会员。在 2019 年的新年荣誉中，蒂姆因其为增进经济理解所做的贡献而被授予 OBE 勋章。

Tim is a journalist and broadcaster.

He is the author of nine books including “How To Make The World Add Up”, “Messy”, and the million-selling “The Undercover Economist”. Tim is a senior columnist at the Financial Times, and the presenter of Radio 4’s “More or Less”and the new podcast “Cautionary Tales”.

Tim has spoken at TED, PopTech and the Sydney Opera House. He is an associate member of Nuffield College, Oxford and an honorary fellow of the Royal Statistical Society. Tim was made an OBE for services to improving economic understanding in the New Year honours of 2019.